Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.850971e-03 0.002046 0.002242 0.002454 0.002675 0.002900 0.003144
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.527688e-03 0.001807 0.002097 0.002419 0.002765 0.003123 0.003522
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.314755e-03 0.001660 0.002029 0.002450 0.002911 0.003398 0.003948
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.104971e-03 0.001496 0.001928 0.002431 0.002996 0.003601 0.004295
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.630561e-04 0.001395 0.001885 0.002471 0.003138 0.003864 0.004705
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.466548e-04 0.001312 0.001856 0.002518 0.003284 0.004128 0.005116
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.544186e-04 0.001249 0.001842 0.002579 0.003443 0.004405 0.005540
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.184417e-04 0.001117 0.001738 0.002525 0.003464 0.004522 0.005782
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.218229e-04 0.001027 0.001677 0.002517 0.003534 0.004691 0.006080
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.370481e-04 0.000944 0.001617 0.002506 0.003597 0.004849 0.006363
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.065807e-04 0.000934 0.001651 0.002609 0.003794 0.005163 0.006824
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.481671e-04 0.000877 0.001617 0.002624 0.003883 0.005348 0.007136
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.480218e-04 0.000754 0.001507 0.002563 0.003909 0.005496 0.007449
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.732082e-04 0.000657 0.001425 0.002536 0.003977 0.005696 0.007830
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.261740e-04 0.000598 0.001393 0.002573 0.004125 0.005994 0.008330
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.899356e-05 0.000520 0.001325 0.002558 0.004207 0.006213 0.008737
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.135052e-05 0.000474 0.001302 0.002600 0.004361 0.006520 0.009252
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.123990e-05 0.000435 0.001285 0.002650 0.004525 0.006838 0.009779
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.778469e-05 0.000405 0.001279 0.002715 0.004705 0.007178 0.010334
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.540388e-06 0.000335 0.001196 0.002660 0.004727 0.007318 0.010647
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.280648e-09 0.000289 0.001146 0.002653 0.004807 0.007531 0.011046
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000246 0.001098 0.002642 0.004882 0.007734 0.011432
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000241 0.001125 0.002748 0.005115 0.008137 0.012064